Rand Paul: Electoral Circumstances
"A Clear Vision For Kentucky."
Senator Rand Paul was first elected into Congress in 2010, after defeating Democrat Jack Conway.
The polling data of the election according to RealClearPolitics.com is listed below.
| Poll | Date | Sample | Paul (R) | Conway (D) | Spread | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | -- | -- | 55.8 | 44.2 | Paul +11.6 | ||||||
| RCP Average | 10/24 - 10/30 | -- | 51.8 | 40.8 | Paul +11.0 | ||||||
| PPP (D) | 10/28 - 10/30 | 1021 LV | 55 | 40 | Paul +15 | ||||||
| Rasmussen Reports | 10/27 - 10/27 | 750 LV | 53 | 41 | Paul +12 | ||||||
| CN|2/Braun Research | 10/25 - 10/27 | 800 LV | 47 | 39 | Paul +8 | ||||||
| SurveyUSA | 10/24 - 10/27 | 637 LV | 52 | 43 | Paul +9 |
Looking at the Primary and General Election, it looks as if Senator Rand Paul will win and renew his seat. He is now more so focused on the Presidential Election. He has been attending events suchs as the Conservative Political Action Conference, in hopes to get votes for the potential bid of the Republican Party in the Presidential Race according to Reuters. Rand, because looking for re-election in Senate and bid for President has asked the Kentucky GOP to change the state's presidential nominating contest from a primary to a caucus in 2016.
Here, he outdistanced most of his competitors by taking 25.7 percent of the vote. The only thing that is worrisome about this is his libertarian views may not appeal to a lot of the Republican Party. Although he did win the straw vote, that does not necessarily identify him as the next Republican nominee.
It's also interesting because in Paul's first Congressional Election, he was overshadowed by higher-profile allies. The first two years into his career, he was not a major player in the political world. It wasn't until he filibustered a nominee to bring attention to the federal government's droning program.
His numbers then shot up making him popular in the Republican Party-- popular enough to win the bid.
He is running neck and neck with New Jersey Governor, Chris Christie and former Florida Governor, Jeb Bush. (They're all undeclared established candidates for 2016 Republican Presidential Nominee)
2012:
In the 2012 Presidential Election, Kentucky voted for Mitt Romney over Barack Obama with a 61% to 39%. With this much of a difference, and only 4 of 120 counties voting Obama, Kentucky will most likely vote Republican once again.
Major Issues:
-An issue that could help shape the election is Paul's stance with Israel & National Security Issues-- he wants to prevent a nuclear war with Iran.
-He also could win liberal voters as his position on same-sex marriage opposes any federal action to prevent it. On the contrary, you could lose some conservative Republicans because of this.
-Senator Rand Paul has reported a total of 1,264 contributions ($200 dollars or more) totaling $855,072 in 2013-2014.
-The top ten contributors include...
| 1 | Club for Growth | $106,515 | $106,515 | $0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | Mason Capital Management | $44,200 | $44,200 | $0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | Alliance Resource Partners | $40,650 | $40,650 | $0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | Senate Conservatives Fund | $32,085 | $32,085 | $0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | National Right to Work Cmte |  | $27,500 | $0 | $27,500 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | Corriente Advisors | $24,200 | $24,200 | $0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | Impala Asset Management | $21,700 | $21,700 | $0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | Bluegrass Cmte | $20,000 | $0 | $20,000 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | Koch Industries | |  | $17,000 | $12,000 | $5,000 | |||||||||||||||||
| 10 | University of Kentucky | | $16,550 | $16,550 | $0 |
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